<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Article Authoring DTD v1.4 20240229//EN" "JATS-articleauthoring1.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" xml:lang="zh-CN" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">14</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>《商业》</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title>Shang Ye</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn>ISSN:2810-9678</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>华文科学出版社</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">29286</article-id>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>供应链波动情境下企业现金流风险预警机制研究</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <string-name>陈梦竹 重庆首讯科技股份有限公司</string-name>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <year>2026</year>
        <month>3</month>
      </pub-date>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <abstract>
        <p>供应链波动加剧背景下，企业资金流动呈现出流出前移与流入滞后并存特征，现金流风险由单一财务问题演化为供应链传导结果。围绕采购、库存与回款环节，构建多源数据采集与融合机制，形成覆盖现金流、供应链、回款与风险状态的多维指标体系，并建立分级预警模型与动态触发机制，实现对资金运行状态的连续识别与分段刻画。结合电子信息类企业案例进行验证，结果表明，指标联动变化能够有效反映资金运行轨迹，风险状态随阶段推进逐步收敛，为现金流风险识别与运行调节提供量化依据。</p>
      </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
